Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $202,584$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(2.31 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{233,335.3}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 77.5)}}\) (asimptote \(233,335.3\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,507$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(1.66 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(43.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,516.6}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 51.0)}}\) (asimptote \(8,516.6\))
Start date 2020-02-27 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $31,693$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $39,145$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(601 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,578.0}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 90.1)}}\) (asimptote \(41,578.0\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $319$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(18.2 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{343.3}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 52.9)}}\) (asimptote \(343.3\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $8,100$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $186,493$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(4.26 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(39.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{170,558.0}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 34.9)}}\) (asimptote \(170,558.0\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,927$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(1.17 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,685.4}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 34.1)}}\) (asimptote \(4,685.4\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $22,738$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $154,233$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(4.16 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(19.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{205,464.5}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 86.1)}}\) (asimptote \(205,464.5\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,230$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(35.3 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.6\) days)
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $54,086$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $21,331$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(289 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{39,831.3}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 114.2)}}\) (asimptote \(39,831.3\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $60$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(0.609 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.0\) days)
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,481$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $20,633$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(4.57 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(47.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{17,508.5}{1 + 10^{-0.052 (t - 38.7)}}\) (asimptote \(17,508.5\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $305$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(89.6 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(44.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{290.7}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 29.1)}}\) (asimptote \(290.7\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,742$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $86,488$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(1.78 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(19.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{103,396.0}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 89.2)}}\) (asimptote \(103,396.0\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $94$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(1.75 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.7\) days)
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $19,631$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $44,533$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(1.65 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{48,923.6}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 86.6)}}\) (asimptote \(48,923.6\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $301$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(38.3 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{288.8}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 47.3)}}\) (asimptote \(288.8\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $12,478$ on 2020-06-20